FiveThirtyEight
David Wasserman

Could Trump Embarrass Kasich By Stealing Second In Utah?

OK, maybe I’m just grasping for some excitement on a night when Trump has swept Arizona and Cruz will sweep Utah. But, I’m genuinely curious as to whether Kasich can avoid the embarrassment of finishing behind Trump in Utah. Right now, Kasich leads Trump 22 percent to 19 percent, thanks to a strong first place finish in tiny Sevier County and a solid second place showing in metropolitan Salt Lake County. But Trump leads Kasich 27 percent to 16 percent in booming Washington County, which is actually on the fringes of the Las Vegas metro area and has a decent population of non-LDS voters. Kasich’s the favorite to top Trump based on the earliest returns, but I’m not ready to predict that Mitt Romney will award him the silver medal here quite yet.
Nate Silver

Sanders Landslide Likely in Idaho

The Boise, Idaho (Ada County) caucus sites just reported their Democratic results on CNN. Technically, it’s just the first ballot — voters have a chance to change their vote — but Sanders is doing extremely well, with 80 percent of the vote to Clinton’s 18 percent out of about 9,100 votes cast.
Nate Silver

Earlier, I listed the states where the Clinton tandem has gone 5-for-5. What about the reverse? States where the Clintons have gone 0-for-5? There are none yet, but there might be one soon. Bill Clinton lost Utah to Paul Tsongas in 1992, and in both his general election bids. Hillary Clinton lost it to Obama in 2008. And it looks like she’s about to lose it to Sanders this year. Alaska is the only other potential 0-for-5 Clinton state, as far as I can tell.

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