FiveThirtyEight

Nate Silver

If The GOP Candidates Were Poker Hands

Answer

Ahh, great question (although would be better if Nevada were voting as part of “Western Tuesdsay” also). I think Trump would be something like ace-jack offsuit. Not a lot of grace, and has a lot of vulnerabilities against stronger hands, but it’ll get the job done by brute force when no one else has much going for them, and has enough “showdown value” that you can call a lot of bluffs. Ted Cruz would be a pair of 3’s. Not usually that useful in a crowded field, but can be fairly powerful as the field consolidates. John Kasich is 7-4-offsuit and should have folded before the flop.
Harry Enten

Clinton looks like she’s going to win the Democratic primary in Arizona, unless there’s some sort of shocker. She leads 62 percent to 36 percent in the early vote coming from Maricopa (where most of the votes will be cast).

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