FiveThirtyEight
Harry Enten

Trump just won Jefferson County, Kentucky, 30 percent to Cruz’s 29 percent. That’s bad news for Cruz’s Kentucky hopes. While Cruz is down just 4 percentage points, Trump’s margin in the overall vote remains fairly steady at around 5,000 votes. There’d have to be a late surge from somewhere for Cruz to win; otherwise, it’ll be close but no cigar.
Nate Silver

In less exciting news from Louisiana, Clinton currently leaders Sanders by 47 percentage points. That’s consistent with her 45-point lead in our pre-election polling average.


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