How The States Voted On Semi-Super Saturday

We don’t doubt that Trump is likely to win Louisiana, where he was way ahead in polls and is ahead by 23 percentage points in initial returns. According to Decision Desk HQ, however, the results so far are early votes cast before election day. So how much Trump’s margin declines over the course of the evening, if it does it all, could provide some indication of whether the last few days of campaign news have hurt him.

To riff on what Harry said earlier: combined between the four Ohio border counties to have reported thus far in Kentucky, Trump has won 32 percent of the vote, Cruz 31 percent, Kasich 23 percent and Rubio 14 percent. (These percentages exclude votes for Ben Carson and other withdrawn candidates.) That’s interesting for Kasich heading into Ohio, but also perhaps an auspicious sign for Cruz since he’s nearly tied with Trump. There are no results in yet from highly populous Kenton County, home to Covington, a prominent Cincinnati suburb.