How The States Voted On Semi-Super Saturday

To riff on what Harry said earlier: combined between the four Ohio border counties to have reported thus far in Kentucky, Trump has won 32 percent of the vote, Cruz 31 percent, Kasich 23 percent and Rubio 14 percent. (These percentages exclude votes for Ben Carson and other withdrawn candidates.) That’s interesting for Kasich heading into Ohio, but also perhaps an auspicious sign for Cruz since he’s nearly tied with Trump. There are no results in yet from highly populous Kenton County, home to Covington, a prominent Cincinnati suburb.

Our colleagues at ABC News just called Nebraska for Sanders. He is leading there by about 10 percentage points with about 75 percent of the vote counted. A win is a win, but his margin is smaller than we’d expect if the race were tied nationally. Not only that, but it’s far less than 35-percentage-point margin then Sen. Barack Obama won the caucus by eight years ago.

Maine is officially called for Cruz, who won 46 percent of the vote and 12 delegates. Trump took 33 percent and 9 delegates, Kasich took 12 percent and 2 delegates and Rubio won 8 percent and no delegates. That’s a very healthy victory for Cruz in the Northeast, where he has otherwise struggled. Trump had easily won in both Massachusetts and New Hampshire, which border Maine. Did Trump fall short in Maine because it was a caucus? Did something change in the past few days that allowed Cruz to crush him? Is Cruz finally coalescing the anti-Trump vote? We obviously don’t know, but it was a good night for Cruz in Maine and a bad one for Rubio and Trump.