How The States Voted On Semi-Super Saturday

So let’s say Cruz wins Maine, as Harry suspects will happen. If Trump wins Kentucky and Louisiana, won’t the results today not seem so bad for him?

There are reports that Cruz has carried York County in Maine by a small margin. If that turns out to be true, it seems likely that Cruz will pull out the win. York was a fairly good county for Romney in 2012 and is not as rural, where Cruz tends to do best, as the rest of Maine.

Appropriately, the first results from Kentucky came in from Bourbon County, which gave Cruz and Trump 32 percent each, Kasich 18 percent and Rubio 16 percent. It’s been some time since we had a competitive Republican caucus or primary in Kentucky, so the results are hard to put into context. In the past few presidential general elections, however, Bourbon County — which consists of working-class exurbs in the Lexington metro area — has been a reasonably good bellwether, voting about the same as Kentucky does overall.