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Election 2020: Live Results And Analysis

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Shed a tear, dear reader; we are winding down our live blog. In case you missed them, here are the key results from tonight:

  • The world appears safe from top-two mischief in California. Although it’s still possible for two Republicans to finish in the top two in California’s 10th and 48th congressional districts, the smart money is on the Democratic candidates gaining votes from here on out. And while it looks like Dianne Feinstein will face fellow Democrat Kevin de León in the U.S. Senate race, the races the 39th District and the 49th District are going to be regular Democrat-on-Republican contests, as will the race for governor, where Democrat Gavin Newsom and Republican John Cox advance to the runoff. The presence of a Republican in the governor’s runoff avoids the worst-case scenario for the GOP: getting shut out of both top-of-the-ticket races in California, which could depress Republican turnout in competitive House races statewide.
  • In Montana, we finally learned that Republican Matt Rosendale will face Democratic Sen. Jon Tester. But because the state counts votes really slowly, the Democratic primary for U.S. House is still too close to call between Kathleen Williams and John Heenan.
  • New Jersey Democrats got all the candidates they wanted for a handful of competitive House races (much to the chagrin of progressives, in the 2nd District especially), but there were some upsets on the Republican side, like John McCann’s win in the 5th District. However, the GOP did nominate Assemblyman Jay Webber in the 11th District, giving them a good shot at defending that seat.
  • In New Mexico, Deb Haaland won the 1st Congressional District, putting her in great position to become the first Native American woman elected to Congress. Democrats were also cheered by the GOP’s nomination of die-hard conservative Yvette Herrell in the sleeper Democratic target of NM-02.
  • A pair of competitive Iowa primaries fizzled, as Fred Hubbell easily won the Democratic nomination for governor and Cindy Axne cruised to the congressional nomination in the 3rd District. Hubbell is wealthy and is likely to be a strong candidate for Team Blue in the fall, while Axne’s rout was another example of the success that women have enjoyed in Democratic primaries this year.
  • In South Dakota, Rep. Kristi Noem won a tight Republican primary for governor. She’ll probably be replaced in the House by moderate Republican Dusty Johnson, who beat two farther-right rivals.
  • And in Alabama, tune in again in July, when Rep. Martha Roby faces former Rep. Bobby Bright in a runoff likely to focus on Roby’s un-endorsement of President Trump in 2016. It’ll be a rematch of the 2010 general election.