Updated 2:54 AM | Feb. 2, 2016How Iowa VotedBy FiveThirtyEightFiled under 2016 Election Harry Enten 10:08 pm I just don’t see how Donald Trump wins this thing. Cruz’s lead is clearly holding at a little over 3 percentage points. Meanwhile, Rubio continues to close in on Trump — Rubio is just 1.7 percentage points behind him for second place. × The best of FiveThirtyEight, delivered to you. Thanks for subscribing!You should receive a confirmation in your inbox shortly. Error: {{data}}. Email Address Morning Distribution (Daily) Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight. Top Stories Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top stories last week. Politics Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories last week. Popular Stories Tim Scott’s Uphill Battle To Win The Republican Nomination Florida Started A Race To Reshape Conservatism. Now It Has Some Catching Up To Do. Some Evangelical Voters Aren't Sold On Trump. Will That Help DeSantis?