Updated 2:54 AM | Feb. 2, 2016How Iowa VotedBy FiveThirtyEightFiled under 2016 Election Harry Enten 9:47 pm To me the real question is who is 2nd and 3rd on the Republican side, Dave. I think it’s Trump then Rubio, but Rubio has been closing that gap. Cruz’s lead is holding. × The best of FiveThirtyEight, delivered to you. Thanks for subscribing!You should receive a confirmation in your inbox shortly. Error: {{data}}. Email Address Morning Distribution (Daily) Your daily briefing from FiveThirtyEight. Top Stories Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top stories last week. Politics Newsletter (Weekly) FiveThirtyEight’s top politics stories last week. Popular Stories Tim Scott’s Uphill Battle To Win The Republican Nomination Florida Started A Race To Reshape Conservatism. Now It Has Some Catching Up To Do. Some Evangelical Voters Aren't Sold On Trump. Will That Help DeSantis?