To update readers on the decisions being made here at FiveThirtyEight HQ: We’re leaving our 2020 primary forecast model frozen until we get the results from Iowa, as those are a pretty big variable for predicting candidates’ chances in New Hampshire and beyond. That is, we’re not updating the forecast with any new data for the time being. If we get any new polls, however, you can still follow them (and how they affect our polling averages) on our polls page.
