FiveThirtyEight
Matt Grossmann

Preliminary entrance polls suggest that the ideological distribution of caucusgoers looks similar to 2016, with very liberal voters mostly supporting Sanders and Warren and the moderates mostly supporting Biden and Buttigieg. That leaves the ideological battleground as caucusgoers that identify as “somewhat liberal” (a plurality). But one strength of Sanders has been that he does generate some support from moderates, whereas Biden generates very little support from very liberal voters.


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