If delayed Iowa results lead to a smaller-than-usual post-Iowa bump, it’s advantage: Sanders. He currently has a healthy lead in our New Hampshire forecast, which gives him a 3 in 5 chance of winning. Biden is second with a 1 in 5 chance.


If delayed Iowa results lead to a smaller-than-usual post-Iowa bump, it’s advantage: Sanders. He currently has a healthy lead in our New Hampshire forecast, which gives him a 3 in 5 chance of winning. Biden is second with a 1 in 5 chance.