FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

I do think that to the extent that the post-Iowa bounce is largely about media coverage, and it’s already 10:35 p.m. and 0 results have officially been reported, and there are a lot of competing storylines this week, and the clusterf*ck in Iowa reporting is itself a competing story, and besides all that the results are liable to be fairly close anyway … all of that points toward the fact that the Iowa bounce is likely to be on the small side for whomever wins.


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