FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Laura Bronner

Perry, on that: it’s worth noting that Buttigieg is essentially tied with Biden among nonwhite caucusgoers in Iowa, according to the entrance poll — though we should stress that that’s only 9 percent overall! Sanders, on the other hand, has a big lead.

Perry Bacon Jr.

The gap between Buttigieg’s strong support among Iowa’s overwhelmingly white electorate and his lack of support among nonwhite voters nationally is now even more clear. He has now officially done very well in Iowa, despite months of harsh coverage of his lack of appeal to minority voters., which I thought might affect his standing in Iowa. Now, the question will be can he make gains across all demographics nationally and in states like Nevada and South Carolina? Or do Biden — and to some extent, Bloomberg and Steyer, if we’re looking at the more moderate candidates — remain more popular than him among nonwhite voters?


Exit mobile version