What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

Perry, on that: it’s worth noting that Buttigieg is essentially tied with Biden among nonwhite caucusgoers in Iowa, according to the entrance poll — though we should stress that that’s only 9 percent overall! Sanders, on the other hand, has a big lead.

The gap between Buttigieg’s strong support among Iowa’s overwhelmingly white electorate and his lack of support among nonwhite voters nationally is now even more clear. He has now officially done very well in Iowa, despite months of harsh coverage of his lack of appeal to minority voters., which I thought might affect his standing in Iowa. Now, the question will be can he make gains across all demographics nationally and in states like Nevada and South Carolina? Or do Biden — and to some extent, Bloomberg and Steyer, if we’re looking at the more moderate candidates — remain more popular than him among nonwhite voters?

Now that we have precinct-level data, we can see which candidates met the threshold necessary at each caucus site. Of the 1,099 precincts reporting, Buttigieg met the 15 percent threshold in 88 percent and Sanders in 77 percent.