FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

The polling in Iowa, which should be judged by first preferences, was actually quite good. Especially the spiked Selzer & Co. poll!

Ryan Best

Here’s a consolidated look at the preliminary results with 62 percent of precincts reporting:

Preliminary results from the Iowa caucuses

First alignment, final alignment, and State Delegate Equivalents (S.D.E.) in the Iowa caucuses with 62% of precincts reporting as of 5:01 pm

FIRST ALIGNMENT FINAL ALIGNMENT S.D.E.
Buttigieg 21% 25% 27%
Sanders 24 26 25
Warren 19 21 18
Biden 15 13 16
Klobuchar 13 12 13
Yang 5 1 1
Steyer 2 0 0
Uncommitted 1 1 0
Gabbard 0 0 0
Bennet 0 0 0
Patrick 0 0 0
Bloomberg 0 0 0

Source: iowa democractic party

Meredith Conroy

Kaleigh, I hope we learn a lot more about this decision in the coming days. It seems like it will be necessary, as lots of conspiracies are circling online about the app developer. But I think this New York Magazine piece draw the conclusion that sounds right to me: incompetence isn’t conspiracy.


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