What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

Kaleigh, I hope we learn a lot more about this decision in the coming days. It seems like it will be necessary, as lots of conspiracies are circling online about the app developer. But I think this New York Magazine piece draw the conclusion that sounds right to me: incompetence isn’t conspiracy.

Just based on the initial coverage on CNN, the story they are emphasizing is not really who won, probably because Sanders and Buttigieg are so close. They are really focused on Biden being in fourth, winning very few counties and not being viable in some areas. I expected the person finishing in fourth is going to have a bad few days. If Biden remains in fourth, I think that will be the case.

It’s hard to believe we have no guidance yet on when we’re going to get more numbers (remember there is no data for 38 percent of precincts). And what’s more, we don’t know why those results are delayed.