FiveThirtyEight
Ryan Best

Here’s a consolidated look at the preliminary results with 62 percent of precincts reporting:

Preliminary results from the Iowa caucuses

First alignment, final alignment, and State Delegate Equivalents (S.D.E.) in the Iowa caucuses with 62% of precincts reporting as of 5:01 pm

FIRST ALIGNMENT FINAL ALIGNMENT S.D.E.
Buttigieg 21% 25% 27%
Sanders 24 26 25
Warren 19 21 18
Biden 15 13 16
Klobuchar 13 12 13
Yang 5 1 1
Steyer 2 0 0
Uncommitted 1 1 0
Gabbard 0 0 0
Bennet 0 0 0
Patrick 0 0 0
Bloomberg 0 0 0

Source: iowa democractic party

Meredith Conroy

Kaleigh, I hope we learn a lot more about this decision in the coming days. It seems like it will be necessary, as lots of conspiracies are circling online about the app developer. But I think this New York Magazine piece draw the conclusion that sounds right to me: incompetence isn’t conspiracy.

Perry Bacon Jr.

Just based on the initial coverage on CNN, the story they are emphasizing is not really who won, probably because Sanders and Buttigieg are so close. They are really focused on Biden being in fourth, winning very few counties and not being viable in some areas. I expected the person finishing in fourth is going to have a bad few days. If Biden remains in fourth, I think that will be the case.


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