FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

Nate, to your complaint about emphasizing state delegate equivalents vs. initial preferences or reallocated preferences … aren’t S.D.Es the measure that’s been used in all previous Iowa caucuses?

Laura Bronner

Amelia, I agree that the partial information is the worst of both worlds at this point. If this had come out last night, I think the response would have taken into account the partial nature of the results. Instead, the media seem to be taking Buttigieg’s lead for granted at this point.

Galen Druke

I am in no way suggesting this is a purposeful media strategy, but if you were the Iowa Democratic Party and wanted to overshadow Trump’s State of the Union, the best way to do it would be to release some results now and release the rest of the results after Trump’s speech concludes.


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