FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

With that said — there’s a somewhat separate question of what I think the media will emphasize in the real world, and what I think they should be emphasizing. If everyone treats Buttigieg as the winner, then maybe he gets the bounce, to the extent there is one.

Nate Silver

Yeah, but who the hell cares about that, Micah? State delegate equivalents are dumb and there’s no need to use them, they bias the count toward rural areas, and they don’t really have any analogy in any other state (except Nevada).

Micah Cohen

Nate, to your complaint about emphasizing state delegate equivalents vs. initial preferences or reallocated preferences … aren’t S.D.Es the measure that’s been used in all previous Iowa caucuses?


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