FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

Amelia, I agree that the partial information is the worst of both worlds at this point. If this had come out last night, I think the response would have taken into account the partial nature of the results. Instead, the media seem to be taking Buttigieg’s lead for granted at this point.

Galen Druke

I am in no way suggesting this is a purposeful media strategy, but if you were the Iowa Democratic Party and wanted to overshadow Trump’s State of the Union, the best way to do it would be to release some results now and release the rest of the results after Trump’s speech concludes.

Clare Malone

Amelia, I think it’s actually taking a long time to collect the physical worksheets from the farflung corners of the state, so they figure they should move with what they have as it comes in? I’m not sure if it’s the soundest move, but I suppose they feel the need to show their work amidst this deep embarrassment.


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