What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

Why do we think the IDP did things this way? People are obviously anxious for the results — but now we’re just waiting with partial information, which almost feels worse than not having any numbers at all.

Somebody was going to fall out of that four-candidate pack at the top, and it appears that it was Biden. Still ahead of Klobuchar, but she can say she’s beating expectations.

So far, Biden is losing from the realignment process (likely due to missing the viability threshold in many caucuses) but gaining from the geographic distribution. Buttigieg is gaining from both. Sanders and Warren are gaining a bit from realignment but losing ground from their geographic concentration.