What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

Somebody was going to fall out of that four-candidate pack at the top, and it appears that it was Biden. Still ahead of Klobuchar, but she can say she’s beating expectations.

So far, Biden is losing from the realignment process (likely due to missing the viability threshold in many caucuses) but gaining from the geographic distribution. Buttigieg is gaining from both. Sanders and Warren are gaining a bit from realignment but losing ground from their geographic concentration.

Note: These results are raw results, not projections which take the attributes of the reporting precincts into account. This means that they can still change as the remaining 38 percent of the vote comes in.