FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

One thing I have probably said but is worth repeating — 36 percent of caucusgoers said they made up their mind over the past few days. That’s up from 16 percent in 2016. So there could well be movement that wasn’t captured by the pre-caucus polls.

Nathaniel Rakich

It’s also interesting that multiple campaigns are playing up the idea that they beat “internal projections” and trying to spin that as a win. In reality, only actually winning is a win!

Sarah Frostenson

I still think the Iowa bump could happen if we get the full results tomorrow. But this is also unprecedented territory, so who knows?!


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