What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

It’s the first alignment at my precinct here in Iowa City, and campaign volunteers are prowling their room looking for persuadable folks in small groups. Supporters of candidates like Gabbard are not going to make it past 15 percent at this precinct, so they’re already being approached with pitches for why they should think about another candidate. The negotiating and persuading has begun!

According to preliminary entrance polls, 62 percent of caucusgoers would prefer a candidate who can beat Trump to one they agree with on major issues. Among these “electability voters,” Biden and Buttigieg are leading, while Sanders is doing best among “issues voters.”

Following up on my post earlier about the Grinnell College precinct, here are the post-realignment vote shares.

https://twitter.com/AndrewSolender/status/1224520885840809984

So Warren gained about 7 points, Sanders gained about 2 points and the other caucusgoers decided to go uncommitted.