FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

The early results lean toward the satellite caucuses, but it looks like there’s a bit of data from election night caucuses also. With that said, these numbers are probably from smaller caucuses that you might expect to be good for candidates like Buttigieg and Klobuchar.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

The initial count at my location is complete! There are 797 caucusgoers at this precinct — just slightly more than in 2016, when there were 759 caucusgoers. The 797 number will now be used to establish the 15 percent viability thresholds that will be the make-or-break number for each candidate.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

While we’re waiting for most results to come in (and I’m waiting for my precinct to start voting), here’s another anecdote from my time in Iowa City that brought home to me just how seriously Iowans take their role in our political process. I met a student at the University of Iowa who has been volunteering for Warren, but has three siblings — all of whom support different campaigns. “My brother is on Biden’s campaign, one sister with Buttigieg, the other sister with Bernie,” he said. It was at that moment that I felt I had reached Peak Iowa.


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