What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

Consistent with preelection horse race polls, according to preliminary entrance polling, Biden seems to be doing better among older voters and poorly among young voters. Sanders’s support seems to go the other way — he’s doing very well among people under 45.

Preliminary entrance polls suggest that the ideological distribution of caucusgoers looks similar to 2016, with very liberal voters mostly supporting Sanders and Warren and the moderates mostly supporting Biden and Buttigieg. That leaves the ideological battleground as caucusgoers that identify as “somewhat liberal” (a plurality). But one strength of Sanders has been that he does generate some support from moderates, whereas Biden generates very little support from very liberal voters.

One new addition to the caucuses this year: presidential preference cards, which are being passed out in my precinct now. These cards will create a paper trail in case a recount is requested.