FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

This is the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s endorsed candidate to take on Joni Ernst this fall:

Laura Bronner

Sixty-five percent of caucusgoers say they’ve caucused before, according to preliminary entrance polls. That’s higher than in previous years — that number was 56 percent in 2016 and 43 percent in 2008.

Geoffrey Skelley

That’s right, Nate! Even though John Kerry won in 2004, he actually failed to reach viability in about 10 percent of precincts.


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