What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

How do this year’s caucus-goers compare ideologically to those in previous years? According to preliminary results from the Edison Research entrance poll, they’re similar in ideology to 2016.

So far, caucus-goers seem similarly liberal as in 2016

Breakdown by ideology of Iowa Democratic caucusgoers in 2020 and recent presidential election cycles, according to preliminary entrance poll data

Ideology	2004	2008	2016	2020
Very liberal	17%	18%	28%	25%
Somewhat liberal	39	36	40	42
Moderate	37	40	28	31
Conservative	6	6	4	2

We should stress again that these results are preliminary and can possibly change; since entrance polls collect data in waves, early results can be tilted towards caucus-goers who showed up early — in previous years, these have been older voters. We’ll update these numbers during the course of the evening.

In Winterset (Madison County), where only Klobuchar has an official campaign office, it’s looking like she may fall short of viability in the 2nd precinct. (Lots of signs on the wall, though.)

Here at the Philadelphia satellite caucus, Sanders and Warren are viable after the first round. We’ll see how the Yang, Buttigieg, Biden and Klobuchar supporters now realign.