What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

More than two dozen satellite locations have already conducted caucuses, giving us a glimpse into what the rest of the night might look like. The first Iowa Democrats caucused over pizza and Georgian wine in Tbilisi.

We have results from a handful of satellite sites in Iowa, Scotland, Paris and Florida. For the most part, Sanders has done well in these contests, which generally had low turnout, with the notable exception of two Florida sites, Port Charlotte and St. Petersburg, where many more people showed up. In those races, Klobuchar took the lead.

The Paris location ran into a minor hiccup — it was originally slated for 9 p.m. local time, but then was changed to 8 p.m. local time. But since not everyone got the update, they started at 9 p.m. anyway.

The Manhattan satellite site also had a last-minute change. It was at one point supposed to take place at the Jefferson Market Library, but was changed late last week to the Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual and Transgender Community Center. We’ll have to see if that change affects anyone’s ability to go.

On the topic of turnout, an important question going into tonight was which polling method had a more accurate turnout model: polls that projected turnout based on who said they would caucus vs. polls that modeled turnout based on past elections. Sanders has generally done better in the former, while Biden as done better in the latter.

Here’s an agenda for tonight’s caucus — there’s quite a bit of housekeeping, in addition to the much-anticipated vote. The precinct chair definitely has a captive audience this evening.