FiveThirtyEight
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Here’s an agenda for tonight’s caucus — there’s quite a bit of housekeeping, in addition to the much-anticipated vote. The precinct chair definitely has a captive audience this evening.

Nate Silver

I see a lot of reporters shocked when [insert candidate here] doesn’t achieve viability in their precinct but … folks, that’s gonna happen a lot. With a bunch of candidates polling in the high teens or low 20s, there are going to be plenty of places where they have trouble hitting 15 percent, at least on first alignment.

Laura Bronner

Yeah, I also expected them to be higher, Nate! Especially with all the media attention on late deciders.


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