FiveThirtyEight
Anna Rothschild

Which Candidates Are Winning The Popularity Contest?

Voters in a primary tend to be pretty open-minded. They might like a few candidates, even if they’ve decided to vote, or caucus, for one in particular. That’s in part why you see bounces in primary polling, as voters who were supporting another candidate hop onto a different candidate’s bandwagon. Indeed, if one candidate sweeps a few early states, he or she could see a surge of support as primary season proceeds. But to get that bounce, it helps to be well-liked among likely voters in the first place. See which candidates are most popular, and who has had the biggest jump in net favorability since last year.

Clare Malone

Well here’s an early — and perhaps entirely predictable — indication of how high the turnout could be this evening

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

The precinct chair just announced that there are nearly 800 people in the room – already more than in 2016, and the doors haven’t closed yet.


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