What Did — And Didn’t — Go Down In The Iowa Caucuses

If you could wave a magic wand that would make any candidate president, who would you pick? More people (about 25 percent) said Warren than any other candidate in a new YouGov poll with Data for Progress. Biden comes in second, with 21 percent, and Sanders third with about 19 percent. But people’s “magic wand” preferences don’t match who they say they will actually be voting for in the primaries: 30 percent say they will be voting for Biden, 9 more points than his magic wand support. So, why aren’t people treating their ballot like a magic wand? More than likely, people are thinking strategically about their vote, and sometimes people believe their first choice isn’t the most strategic choice. In this case, that strategy probably involves thinking about who they think can win in November.

Hi from the video team! Nathaniel and Galen sat down with us to talk about which counties to watch for in Iowa.

Laura, that’s a good reminder that, while we journalists and political junkies love the site, most Americans don’t use Twitter.