FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

I don’t know, but in some ways, the lack of a contested convention makes it easier for them. There’s nothing compelling them to endorse Trump or endorse #NeverTrump — they can just stay silent on him and see how things develop. To some extent, it could be a bit of a self-fulfilling prophecy. If Trump’s polls against Clinton still look bad a couple of months from now, a lot of people will want off the train. If he’s in a competitive race, I think the blue-state Republicans will still keep their distance, but many of the purple-state ones will come along.
David Wasserman

A question for the panelists here: What’s your best guess on how many Republican members of Congress will end up refusing to endorse Trump? Five? Ten? Twenty? Thirty? Keep in mind, there are 26 GOP House members and seven GOP senators who currently represent Obama states and districts. Of those 33, all but five are running for re-election in November.
Carl Bialik

Trump’s challenge getting the support of women voters continued in Indiana. He won just 47 percent of women, according to the exit polls, compared to 59 percent of men. He still won the plurality of women voters, but his lead was just 6 percentage points over Cruz, compared to a lead of 26 percentage points over Cruz among men.

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