FiveThirtyEight
David Wasserman

As more Election Day votes come in, Sanders has begun to look better and better in Indiana. I’ll admit, I didn’t anticipate his strength earlier in the night because we haven’t tended to see this big a divide between early votes and Election Day votes on the Democratic side before. At this point, Sanders is ahead in Marion County and has a real chance to win this primary.
Harry Enten

It’s really amazing to see how Sanders does better and better in a county as more votes cast on the day of the election are counted. You can see that in Allen County (Fort Wayne), where Sanders may take a lead when the next batch of votes is counted. Why does Clinton do better in early votes? Usually, those are cast by older and more habitual voters — Clinton’s base.
David Wasserman

Right on cue, initial returns from Lake County (Gary) show Clinton leading there with 65 percent. A few minutes ago, Sanders had taken the lead, thanks to strong showings in two college towns: Bloomington (Monroe County) and South Bend (St. Joseph County). But Clinton can probably count on many more favorable votes yet to be counted in minority-heavy precincts of Gary and Indianapolis. Sanders’s best outstanding area is probably Lafayette (Tippecanoe County).

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