FiveThirtyEight
Jody Avirgan

We probably won’t record one of our patented (okay, fine, patent pending) late-night podcasts to discuss Indiana tonight. But we do have a live show in Washington, D.C., tomorrow where we’ll be able to analyze the results. All along, we thought that if Cruz won Indiana, we’d have delegate math to break down, and if Trump won we’d take a step back, treat him like the presumptive nominee, and start to grapple with…. what that means. So, I’m curious: What big-think Donald Trump questions do you have tonight? For us, for yourself, for our country? What’s your working theory about Trump’s rise? What does it say about the state of our politics? This is a moment, people. Help us get our heads around it. Tweet me, email us, or post in the comments to the right (yes, we read those).
Clare Malone

We’ve spent some time over the last couple of weeks talking about Trump’s strategic decision to call the GOP primary process unfair; in our Slack chat earlier today, Nate pointed out that “Trump’s gains in the polls coincided with the period when he started pressing the case about the Republican primary system being rigged against him.” But it looks like that’s not necessarily a message that’s playing in any particularly meaningful way with voters in Indiana. According to the exit polls, only a third of voters agreed with Trump’s argument that the GOP nomination process is “rigged.”
David Wasserman

Trump is leading Hamilton County (the wealthy Indianapolis suburbs) 47 percent to 31 percent in early returns. Get out the broom: barring a dramatic change, it’s a Trump sweep of all 57 delegates.

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