What Went Down In The Indiana Primary

We now have 9 percent of the vote in for both the Democratic and Republican side. Trump’s lead is holding at 20 percentage points. The Republican side looks like it’s going to be a blowout at this point. The race is far closer on the Democratic side, with Clinton up 4 percentage points. Clinton is doing very well in the pre-election-day vote, while Sanders is doing far better in the ballots that were cast today. That said, a lot of vote is still out in Gary and Indianapolis, both of which should be strong Clinton areas.

The exit polls say Clinton will win Marion County (home to Indianapolis) by only 2 percentage points. I’m not sure I believe that will be the outcome. Obama won it over Clinton by 34.5 percentage points in 2008, and black residents make up 28 percent of the total population.