FiveThirtyEight
Harry Enten

We’ve heard many times over the campaign that Trump won a lot of votes during the primary. We just heard it from Pence. Indeed, he did win 14 million votes. Clinton, however, won nearly 17 million. In the last general election, President Obama won nearly 66 million votes. In other words, both Clinton and Trump will need a lot more voters than they got in the primary to win the general election.

Ritchie King

Mike Pence Is A Conservative (And Probably Smart) Choice For VP

As Harry wrote last week, Mike Pence is an extremely conservative choice for VP and could be a smart one for Trump, as the nominee consistently lost to Ted Cruz among very conservative voters during the primaries.
But Pence is still pretty unknown to voters, and at this point, is disliked as far as VP candidates go.
OPINION OF CANDIDATE
YEAR PARTY VP CANDIDATE FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NET FAV. HAVE AN OPINION
1976 D Walter Mondale 14% 6% +8 20%
1980 R George H.W. Bush 25 23 +2 48
1984 D Geraldine Ferraro 5 2 +3 7
1988 D Lloyd Bentsen 16 6 +10 22
1988 R Dan Quayle 24 18 +6 42
1992 D Al Gore 29 9 +20 38
1996 R Jack Kemp 33 14 +19 47
2000 D Joe Lieberman 33 6 +27 39
2000 R Dick Cheney 29 10 +19 39
2004 D John Edwards 26 11 +15 37
2008 D Joe Biden 27 22 +5 49
2008 R Sarah Palin* 22 9 +13 31
2012 R Paul Ryan* 25 25 0 49
2016 R Mike Pence* 9 15 -6 23
Mike Pence is relatively unknown and disliked

*Averaged from two polls. All percentages rounded to the nearest whole number.


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