FiveThirtyEight
Ritchie King

Mike Pence Is A Conservative (And Probably Smart) Choice For VP

As Harry wrote last week, Mike Pence is an extremely conservative choice for VP and could be a smart one for Trump, as the nominee consistently lost to Ted Cruz among very conservative voters during the primaries.
But Pence is still pretty unknown to voters, and at this point, is disliked as far as VP candidates go.
OPINION OF CANDIDATE
YEAR PARTY VP CANDIDATE FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE NET FAV. HAVE AN OPINION
1976 D Walter Mondale 14% 6% +8 20%
1980 R George H.W. Bush 25 23 +2 48
1984 D Geraldine Ferraro 5 2 +3 7
1988 D Lloyd Bentsen 16 6 +10 22
1988 R Dan Quayle 24 18 +6 42
1992 D Al Gore 29 9 +20 38
1996 R Jack Kemp 33 14 +19 47
2000 D Joe Lieberman 33 6 +27 39
2000 R Dick Cheney 29 10 +19 39
2004 D John Edwards 26 11 +15 37
2008 D Joe Biden 27 22 +5 49
2008 R Sarah Palin* 22 9 +13 31
2012 R Paul Ryan* 25 25 0 49
2016 R Mike Pence* 9 15 -6 23
Mike Pence is relatively unknown and disliked

*Averaged from two polls. All percentages rounded to the nearest whole number.

Harry Enten

Can someone explain to me why the Trump people allowed Cruz to talk tonight? They knew Cruz wasn’t going to endorse Trump. They — and we — had Cruz’s prepared remarks. Did Trump’s people think that Cruz was going to have a change of heart? I’m not sure why the Trump campaign would bank on that. There are Cruz’s ideological disagreements with Trump, but it’s also worth remembering that Trump intimated that Cruz’s father was involved in the John F. Kennedy assassination and attacked Cruz’s wife. So, why give Cruz a prime-time speaking slot?

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