FiveThirtyEight
Jacob Rubashkin

Georgia is also pretty racially polarized when it comes to voting, so the potentially for massively different outcomes is smaller than in a state like, say, New Hampshire. In 2018, it was super interesting to see how all of the down-ballot races in Georgia hewed pretty closely to the result at the top of the ticket. Abrams lost by 2 points, and no Democrat lost by more than 6 points running statewide that year, with most losing by 1-to-3 points.


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