Sarah, I’m gonna go out on a limb and say that I really don’t expect Abrams to win or to come particularly close. If she couldn’t pull it out in the blue wave environment of 2018, I can’t see it happening in a likely red wave environment. On top of that, Kemp is now an incumbent, and incumbents do better. He may also have some idiosyncratic appeal because he’s been vilified by Trump. Warnock will have a steep hill to climb, but I think he has a better shot. He is a relatively popular senator and his opponent, Walker, is a wild card.
