FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

In Republican primaries tonight, the non-incumbent women who received support from either Maggie’s List, VIEW PAC, or Winning for Women, are winning a little more than half of their races. Cassy Garcia, who received support from these groups when she advanced to the runoff, should win in Texas’s 28th District. And Katie Britt is leading the Alabama Senate race, while Sarah Huckabee Sanders won the Arkansas governor’s race. Jennifer Strahan (who was only endorsed by VIEW PAC) lost in Georgia’s 14th District to incumbent Marjorie Taylor Greene, and Suzi Voyles (who was only endorsed by Maggie’s List) is trailing in Georgia’s 6th District. Voyles was up against a Trump endorsed candidate, Jake Evans. It remains to be seen if the GOP will match the (small) gains women made in 2020, but we will be watching.

How Republican women are doing tonight

Women running for Senate, House and governor and their results in Republican primaries or runoffs in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia and Texas, as of 11:03 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Katie Britt AL Sen. 69% 44.7% Leading
Lillie Boddie AL Sen. 69 0.8 Trailing
Kay Ivey* AL Gov. 71 55.0 Leading
Lindy Blanchard AL Gov. 71 19.5 Trailing
Beatrice Nichols AL-07 0 0.0 ✓ Won
Jan Morgan AR Sen. 66 18.9 ✗ Lost
Sarah Huckabee Sanders AR Gov. 67 83.0 ✓ Won
Kandiss Taylor GA Gov. 93 3.6 ✗ Lost
Catherine Davis GA Gov. 93 0.8 ✗ Lost
Surrea Ivy GA-04 43 20.0 ✗ Lost
Mallory Staples GA-06 84 8.8 Trailing
Meagan Hanson GA-06 84 7.9 Trailing
Suzi Voyles GA-06 84 1.9 Trailing
Paulette Smith GA-06 84 0.9 Trailing
Lisa McCoy GA-07 63 14.6 Trailing
Mary West GA-07 63 9.9 Trailing
Calina Plotky GA-13 50 21.9 Trailing
Dominika Hawkins GA-13 50 20.2 Trailing
Marjorie Taylor Greene* GA-14 99 70.3 ✓ Won
Jennifer Strahan GA-14 99 16.4 ✗ Lost
Cassy Garcia TX-28 67 56.7 Leading
Sandra Whitten TX-28 67 43.3 Trailing
Jenny Garcia Sharon TX-37 51 59.3 Leading

*Incumbent.

Sources: Center for American Women and Politics, ABC News

Like last week’s big state run, Trump’s endorsement record looks pretty mixed tonight. Of course, there are races where his chosen candidate won or is leading by nearly insurmountable margins (like the lieutenant governor and Senate races in Georgia tonight). But his chosen challengers to incumbent candidates fell short. His picks in open primaries (Jake Evans and Vernon Jones) are trailing, but the leading candidate is still under 50 percent, meaning they’ll get another shot.

Trump endorsed two of his preferred candidates — Herschel Walker for Senate in Georgia, and Sarah Huckabee Sanders for governor in Arkansas — all the way back in 2021. That could’ve contributed to their front-runner status during their campaigns and their easy victories tonight. That might suggest Trump’s endorsement power is waning with actual voters.

How Trump’s endorsees are doing tonight

Senate, House and gubernatorial candidates endorsed by former President Donald Trump and their results in Republican primaries or runoffs in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia and Texas, as of 10:51 p.m. Eastern

Candidate Office % Reporting Vote Share Status
Jerry Carl* AL-01 0% 0.0% ✓ Won
Barry Moore* AL-02 0 0.0 ✓ Won
Mike Rogers* AL-03 79 81.9 ✓ Won
Robert Aderholt* AL-04 0 0.0 ✓ Won
Gary Palmer* AL-06 0 0.0 ✓ Won
John Boozman* AR Sen. 60 58.1 ✓ Won
Sarah Huckabee Sanders AR Gov. 62 82.8 ✓ Won
Rick Crawford* AR-01 55 73.2 ✓ Won
Bruce Westerman* AR-04 0 0.0 ✓ Won
Herschel Walker GA Sen. 86 69.3 ✓ Won
David Perdue GA Gov. 88 22.4 ✗ Lost
Buddy Carter* GA-01 99 100.0 ✓ Won
Jake Evans GA-06 64 23.4 Trailing
Andrew Clyde* GA-09 95 76.2 ✓ Won
Vernon Jones GA-10 99 21.3 Trailing
Barry Loudermilk* GA-11 73 100.0 ✓ Won
Rick Allen* GA-12 99 100.0 ✓ Won
Marjorie Taylor Greene* GA-14 99 70.3 ✓ Won

*Incumbent.

Sources: DonaldJTrump.com, news reports, ABC News

Kaleigh Rogers

And in the land of Big Lie candidates — of which there were a disconcerting number tonight — the vast majority of wins came from incumbent members of Congress who voted not to certify the election results, but who were expected to win their races tonight. As we move forward, the secretary of state race is worth watching. Right now, Brad Raffensperger is up with 51.2 percent of the votes, and if he will avoid a runoff if he keeps that lead. Otherwise, I’ll be watching closely on June 21 to see if Jody Hice, a truly vehement denier of the results of a democratically executed election, becomes the Republican nominee for Georgia’s chief election official.


Exit mobile version