FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

I should mention that Bourdeaux’s defeat means that possibly four incumbent House members have now met defeat in primaries so far this cycle. Two Republicans have lost: Reps. David McKinley of West Virginia and Madison Cawthorn of North Carolina, with McKinley also losing in an incumbent-versus-incumbent contest like Bourdeaux. And while it hasn’t been projected yet, the May 17 Democratic primary in Oregon’s 5th District might see Jamie McLeod-Skinner defeat Rep. Kurt Schrader, as she leads by 18 points. But some delays in the count there have prevented us from knowing the outcome just yet.

Monica Potts

The AP has called the Arkansas Senate Republican primary for incumbent John Boozman.

Geoffrey Skelley

ABC News projects that Rep. Lucy McBath has defeated fellow Rep. Carolyn Bourdeaux in a member-versus-member Democratic primary battle in Georgia’s 7th District in suburban Atlanta. McBath will now be favored to win reelection in a seat where Georgia Republicans drew as a Democratic vote sink — it’s 16 points more Democratic than the country as a whole. But McBath’s victory does come with a cost for her party, as she chose to abandon the 6th District, which was redrawn as a strongly Republican seat she would not have held onto. As a result, Democrats will lose a seat in the Atlanta suburbs.


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