FiveThirtyEight
Monica Potts

With 35 percent of the vote in, the race is pretty tight in the Democratic primary in Texas’s 15th District. Ruben Ramirez is slightly ahead with 53 percent of the vote. He’s running as more moderate and has been endorsed by Blue Dog PAC. But Michelle Vallejo, who’s been endorsed by Sen. Elizabeth Warren and other progressives, isn’t far behind. Meredith is watching how progressive candidates fare across the country. It’s a battle playing out in red states, too, as Democrats try to figure out what kind of candidates can win in heavily Republican or Republican-leaning districts.

Alex Samuels

George P. Bush has issued a concession statement:

Galen Druke

I don’t think this has anything to do with Pence. Sure, he endorsed Kemp, but that’s not why Kemp won. And as far as Pence’s shot at 2024 is concerned, I wouldn’t put him ahead of Trump or DeSantis until I see something in the actual data suggesting otherwise. But I agree that it’s a bad night for Trump insofar as it makes him look silly. Although, as has been said, this doesn’t necessarily say much about whether Republicans will vote for him in a hypothetical 2024 primary.

To sort of change of the roles here, I don’t think that Obama endorsing Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in a primary against Gov. Kathy Hochul would mean that Ocasio-Cortez would be the next governor of New York, but I’m pretty damn sure, if it were constitutional, that Obama could win a 2024 Democratic Primary.


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