FiveThirtyEight
Alex Samuels

George P. Bush has issued a concession statement:

Galen Druke

I don’t think this has anything to do with Pence. Sure, he endorsed Kemp, but that’s not why Kemp won. And as far as Pence’s shot at 2024 is concerned, I wouldn’t put him ahead of Trump or DeSantis until I see something in the actual data suggesting otherwise. But I agree that it’s a bad night for Trump insofar as it makes him look silly. Although, as has been said, this doesn’t necessarily say much about whether Republicans will vote for him in a hypothetical 2024 primary.

To sort of change of the roles here, I don’t think that Obama endorsing Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in a primary against Gov. Kathy Hochul would mean that Ocasio-Cortez would be the next governor of New York, but I’m pretty damn sure, if it were constitutional, that Obama could win a 2024 Democratic Primary.

Sarah Frostenson

What do you all think … bad night for Trump, good night for Pence? I know you, Nate, once ranked Pence pretty highly in a FiveThirtyEight presidential draft. Or at the very least, didn’t think it was a bad pick.


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