What Went Down During The May 24 Primary Elections

Geoff, I agree on Kelly, and I would add that the GOP primary in Arizona is late and still very unsettled, while Republicans have known their likely nominee in Georgia for months. But I wouldn’t count Warnock out at all. He’s got a ton of money, he’s a skilled campaigner, and Walker is a flawed opponent. Both races are going to be very close.

Among the Democratic senators on the ballot this year, the two biggest fundraisers are Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly and Warnock, and both face tough reelection fights in red-leaning swing states. My question is, who has a better shot at winning reelection — Kelly or Warnock? I’ll go ahead and say Kelly because Arizona has a swingier electorate — it’s just not as racially polarized in its voting patterns as Georgia is. And in a GOP-leaning year, I think Kelly could have more swing voters to win over than Warnock.

With 51 percent of the expected vote tallied in the Georgia Secretary of State race, Raffensperger is still leading with 51 percent of the vote. I know we’ve been caveating his lead all night and that it still may shrink, but count me surprised that this is where he stands with the majority of the expected vote in. I honestly thought he wouldn’t even bother running for reelection because GOP voters would be so allergic to him. That is clearly not the case.