FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

Counties where over 99 percent of the expected vote is in is growing, and while the initial batch of almost-fully-reporting counties was very good for Democrats, it looks a bit more mixed now: Several counties, such as Glynn, Greene and Franklin, have both Perdue and Loeffler beating Trump’s November performance. But we should note that as yet, all of these counties are small — the margin in bigger counties will, of course, have a much larger impact.
How counties are voting in the regular Senate runoff

The current margins, by county, for the Georgia Senate race between Sen. David Perdue (R) and Jon Ossoff (D) and how that margin compares to the county’s final Nov. presidential margin

county County size Cand. Margin Pres. Margin Diff
Glynn ◼️◻️◻️ R+25.4 R+23.2 R+2.2
Oconee ◼️◻️◻️ R+37.8 R+33.5 R+4.3
Dawson ◼️◻️◻️ R+69.0 R+67.9 R+1.2
Monroe ◼️◻️◻️ R+42.9 R+42.8 R+0.1
Union ◼️◻️◻️ R+63.8 R+63.3 R+0.4
Hart ◼️◻️◻️ R+48.8 R+49.6 D+0.7
Greene ◼️◻️◻️ R+30.3 R+26.5 R+3.8
Franklin ◼️◻️◻️ R+70.8 R+69.4 R+1.4
Washington ◼️◻️◻️ D+2.5 D+0.8 D+1.7
Mitchell ◼️◻️◻️ R+9.7 R+10.5 D+0.8
Oglethorpe ◼️◻️◻️ R+38.1 R+38.8 D+0.7
Crisp ◼️◻️◻️ R+24.8 R+24.9 D+0.1
Brantley ◼️◻️◻️ R+81.4 R+81.2 R+0.2
Brooks ◼️◻️◻️ R+21.0 R+20.7 R+0.3
Screven ◼️◻️◻️ R+18.6 R+18.9 D+0.3
Ben Hill ◼️◻️◻️ R+23.6 R+26.2 D+2.6
Long ◼️◻️◻️ R+22.6 R+26.4 D+3.8
Heard ◼️◻️◻️ R+66.6 R+68.5 D+1.9
Early ◼️◻️◻️ R+4.1 R+5.0 D+0.9
Wilkes ◼️◻️◻️ R+14.0 R+13.2 R+0.8
Bacon ◼️◻️◻️ R+73.1 R+72.7 R+0.4
Candler ◼️◻️◻️ R+42.1 R+42.1 R+0.0
Terrell ◼️◻️◻️ D+9.4 D+8.4 D+1.0
Hancock ◼️◻️◻️ D+43.6 D+43.9 R+0.2
Johnson ◼️◻️◻️ R+41.6 R+39.7 R+1.9
Turner ◼️◻️◻️ R+23.5 R+24.8 D+1.2
Lanier ◼️◻️◻️ R+40.3 R+41.7 D+1.3
Randolph ◼️◻️◻️ D+12.9 D+9.1 D+3.8
Chattahoochee ◼️◻️◻️ R+8.2 R+13.5 D+5.3
Clay ◼️◻️◻️ D+11.2 D+10.7 D+0.5

Only counties with at least 99 percent of the expected vote reporting are shown.

County size is determined by its share of the state’s Nov. presidential vote.

Source: ABC News

How counties are voting in the special Senate runoff

The current margins, by county, for the Georgia Senate race between Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) and Raphael Warnock (D) and how that margin compares to the county’s final Nov. presidential margin

county County size Cand. Margin Pres. Margin Diff
Glynn ◼️◻️◻️ R+25.3 R+23.2 R+2.1
Oconee ◼️◻️◻️ R+36.3 R+33.5 R+2.8
Dawson ◼️◻️◻️ R+68.4 R+67.9 R+0.5
Monroe ◼️◻️◻️ R+42.5 R+42.8 D+0.3
Union ◼️◻️◻️ R+63.6 R+63.3 R+0.3
Hart ◼️◻️◻️ R+49.2 R+49.6 D+0.4
Greene ◼️◻️◻️ R+29.2 R+26.5 R+2.7
Franklin ◼️◻️◻️ R+70.8 R+69.4 R+1.4
Washington ◼️◻️◻️ D+3.0 D+0.8 D+2.2
Mitchell ◼️◻️◻️ R+9.3 R+10.5 D+1.2
Oglethorpe ◼️◻️◻️ R+37.4 R+38.8 D+1.4
Crisp ◼️◻️◻️ R+24.3 R+24.9 D+0.7
Brantley ◼️◻️◻️ R+81.5 R+81.2 R+0.2
Brooks ◼️◻️◻️ R+21.1 R+20.7 R+0.4
Screven ◼️◻️◻️ R+18.1 R+18.9 D+0.9
Ben Hill ◼️◻️◻️ R+23.3 R+26.2 D+2.8
Long ◼️◻️◻️ R+22.3 R+26.4 D+4.1
Heard ◼️◻️◻️ R+65.8 R+68.5 D+2.7
Early ◼️◻️◻️ R+4.5 R+5.0 D+0.5
Wilkes ◼️◻️◻️ R+13.8 R+13.2 R+0.6
Bacon ◼️◻️◻️ R+73.0 R+72.7 R+0.3
Candler ◼️◻️◻️ R+42.3 R+42.1 R+0.2
Terrell ◼️◻️◻️ D+9.7 D+8.4 D+1.2
Hancock ◼️◻️◻️ D+43.8 D+43.9 R+0.1
Johnson ◼️◻️◻️ R+41.4 R+39.7 R+1.7
Turner ◼️◻️◻️ R+23.3 R+24.8 D+1.5
Lanier ◼️◻️◻️ R+40.1 R+41.7 D+1.6
Randolph ◼️◻️◻️ D+13.1 D+9.1 D+4.0
Chattahoochee ◼️◻️◻️ R+8.9 R+13.5 D+4.6
Clay ◼️◻️◻️ D+11.2 D+10.7 D+0.4

Only counties with at least 99 percent of the expected vote reporting are shown.

County size is determined by its share of the state’s Nov. presidential vote.

Source: ABC News


Filed under

Exit mobile version