FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

It’s hard to know whether the narrative on Twitter and other places has gotten overexuberant for the Democrats. It really does seem to be pretty hard to find favorable data points for the GOP so far, but with this patchwork of Election Day votes, early votes and so on, coming in from very different parts of the state, it can also be easy to cherry-pick evidence. And while Democrats are beating their marks, they they’re mostly doing so by narrow margins.


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