FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

A reminder, too, readers, that this is vote is going to take far longer than the Senate’s. There are simply far more members and with COVID-19 restrictions in place, the representatives are voting in waves.

Nate Silver

Already 45 votes in support of the objection in the House so far. It’s a different beast than the Senate.

Micah Cohen

Perry and Sarah, your points about how new (relatively speaking) the six Republicans who voted for the objection to the Arizona results are to the Senate, and how many are from Southern states, I think are really important. There’s not a lot else that ties them together. If you look at the partisan lean of each GOP senator’s state, there isn’t really a pattern in there. For example, the 15 Republicans from the most red-leaning states all voted no. There’s not even a pattern in the senators’ Trump scores (how often each member votes along with Trump’s position).


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