FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

And now the House is voting.

Sarah Frostenson

One other thing I’d add to what Perry said about the GOP senators who objected — as it stands in such stark contrast to the historic results in Georgia — many of these senators are from very southern states (Mississippi, Alabama, Louisiana), speaking to Trump’s continued dominance in other parts of the Sunbelt. Given what happened in Georgia, though, I wonder how a state like Texas fares moving forward. It didn’t flip blue in the 2020 presidential election, but it wasn’t that long ago that O’Rourke came close to unseating Cruz, and as you can see from our analysis of the 2020 margin, it is trending left overall.

Perry Bacon Jr.

Tonight’s big important story, as several of you have alluded to, is that the anti-certification bloc in the Senate was reduced by about half by today’s events. And it looks like we will have objections to just two states (Arizona and Pennsylvania) instead of at least three (an objection to Georgia had also been anticipated).


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